GEORGE FRIEDMAN, chairman of Stratfor Forecasting, Inc., is not everybody's cuppa tea. It's not because he's not good at what he, Robert Kaplan, and other Stratfor analysts do, which is global intelligence. They're fabulous. It's because old-fashioned balance-of-power geopolitical analysis is out of fashion. Moralists right and left agree that realpolitik is too darned amoral, too Kissingerian, to deserve respect. And, in a way, they're right. All Stratfor-style analysts have going for them, compared to the alternatives -- neoconservatists, neoisolationists, pacifists, and all the others -- is that the Stratfordians are more often right than wrong. The others can't make that claim.
. . . BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA, his policies and politics, progressivism, hard liberalism, Occupysters, faculty lounges far and wide, community organizers, Hollywood millionaires, obligatory white guilt, collegiate sophomores, fundamental transformers, and all manner of idiots, idiocy, and plain old meanness. It also repudiated . . .
LIVING WATER INTERNATIONAL is a Houston-area Christian charity that drills deep water wells in Africa and elsewhere.
You and I take clean and readily available for granted. Yet millions are condemned to risk cholera and dysentery daily by drinking water from shallow and easily conteaminated hand-dug wells. Today would be a good day . . .
The dust has settled. The decision is in. The GOP gained seven seats in the Senate for sure, eight when the sore loser in Alaska either gives up or is loses whatever fight he decides to mount, and a likely ninth when Louisiana holds its December 6 primary.
Hallelujah! Repudiation city!
Seven seats gives the GOP a 52-48 advantage, exactly what Real Clear Politics "Senate No Toss Ups" suggested. The pickups so far: Arkansas (Cotton), Colorado (Gardner), Iowa (Ernst), Montana (Daines), North Carolina (Tillis), South Dakota (Rounds), and West Virginia (Capito).
Alaska (Sullivan) is poised to fall to Republicans and, I suspect, Louisiana (Cassidy) after the December 6 primary. That will make nine, well ahead of the RCP quasi-projection. Then what happens to vulnerable Democrats like Joe Manchin of West Virginia? Will we see any party switches?
Here are the numbers for key states, based on vote totals early this afternoon.
. . . the election, but Real Clear Politics still sees the Senate race at 52-48 on the screen for "Senate No Toss Ups."
By the way, a good screen companion while you watch the results tonight is this page, "Election 2014," also from RCP.
Here's who had momentum in the last few days of the campaign, measured from the numbers last Friday. It was mostly Republicans, but not enough to move any race out of the toss-up or leaning categories.
MAYOR PARKER has pulled down her nasty subpoenas of pastors she deems guilty of thought crimes, but not before the abusive legal papers had done their job. The mayor's real purposes were to bully political adversaries by running up the preachers' legal bill and to distract the public from the real issues in the lawsuit.
I'm guessing that she was surprised by the political blowback from her attack on freedom of religion, assembly, and speech.
And I'm also guessing that sometime earlier this week some first-year associate at the city's go-to liberal/progessive law firm, Susman Godfrey, finally circulated his memorandum on how many milliseconds the subpoena would hold up in court once a decent judge had a go at it.
But the issue that's been overlooked -- and given that it's the Houston Chronicle doing the overlookin', who's surprised? -- is that the subpoenas were totally irrelevant to the lawsuit.
Another item for the election fraud folder at the top of the right column:
October 22. "The Bronx DA is investigating claims of voter fraud in a hotly contested Democratic primary for the Assembly that was decided by two votes. . . . Ironically, [Assemblyman Victor] Picardo, by winning a special election, succeeded Assemblyman Nelson Castro, who was nailed for election fraud after nine voters were discovered registered at his one-bedroom apartment. He later cut a deal with the feds and wore a wire to ensnare other officials in corruption." (nypost.com)
THE LEFT denies that election fraud is a serious issue. It's true that few cases are investigated and prosecuted. Election fraud is difficult to investigate and prosecute to conviction. Law officers and prosecutors see no upside to doing so. Democrat officials don't want to go after their own party. Republican officials risk being charged with using the law inappropriately to bully political adversaries.
Regardless of whether it is investigated or prosecuted, however, election fraud is out there. Why wouldn't it be, given the passions of politics and the low probability of being held to account?
How, besides common sense, do we know election fraud is a serious issue? Because of anecdotal evidence. That sounds iffy, but it's not. Much of what we know about the world is based on anecdotal evidence. The front page of every newspaper is a collection of stories that, taken alone, may mean little. In context, however, these small collections of facts are evidence of larger truths.
It is the job of an honest press -- or a partisan press, for that matter -- to chase stories of election fraud. Many do, though not nearly enough. One story about election fraud is one story. A plethora of stories is evidence of a pattern.
Every election cycle, careful readers see reports from around the nation about illegal voter registration, ballot stuffing, voting by felons, voting multiple times, and other wrongdoing. Some of these may be accidental. Others may be misreported. But there's always too much smoke around this issue not to have a fire.
Voter fraud is a read problem and, I believe, a big problems.
I'll keep the list in a page on the right side of this blog under the headline, ELECTION FRAUD. Check back occasionally for new material. I'm confident it will grow fat with reports of fraud and potential fraud.
. . . from preaching the sermon about how Barack Hussein Obama is not -- repeat, not -- nosediving in the polls. Wish it were so -- he richly deserves the honor -- but it ain't so. Here's another try to 'splainin' something I don't really want to believe, but facts are facts.
Two problems. First, I don't think he can stand the scutiny when the press (properly) begins to dig into the question of how he wound up so rich while serving in public office.
Second, he takes undue credit for the Texas miracle. Texas is succeeding because Texans are different from other folks -- we still go to church on Sunday and go to work on Monday -- and because Texas is different from other states -- we keep government on a leash and allow property, contracts, the rule of law, and free market to do what they always do when given half a chance: create jobs (and prosperity) and reduce unemployment (and poverty).
I'm no fan of Rick Perry. But if he keeps talking like he did recently in London, who knows? Listen: