. . . closing numbers:
Ms. Clinton is three points ahead on the national polls -- 47-44 -- according to the average at Real Clear Politics: "General Election: Trump vs. Clinton."
Mr. Trump topped out at 45 points a few days ago, and that was that. Ms. Clinton's 47 has been stable, give or take a point or two, since early August.
Mr. Trump's only real chance of winning the popular vote is that the last ten polls -- with one exception -- systematically undercounted Trump voters. The exception "Los Angeles Times / USC Tracking," ends with Trump up 47-44.
Ms. Clinton also wins by three -- 45-42 -- on RCP's four-way screen: "General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein."
What matters, of course, is the Electoral College. The last round of polls show Ms. Clinton leading 272-266, according to RCP's "No Toss Up States."
If Mr. Trump holds all states assigned to him by RCP, then picks up four more more electoral votes, he wins. Two hundred seventy is the magic number.
Is that doable? In theory, yes. In practice, probably not.
The odds favor the one who is ahead. Her campaign is working feverishly to win back some of Mr. Trumps states and hold the ones Ms. Clinton already holds, according to RCP.
Then there's all that business about how early voting means that the closing day numbers are less important than they once were, because a lot of voters weighed in back when Ms. Clinton was already well ahead in the polls.
Either way we get a bad president, one of low character, no demonstrated competence at governing, and bad policies. In other words, two Democrats.
Closing headline: Clinton likely to win; Trump has a small chance of an upset.
Oh, RCP's "no toss ups" Senate map shows Republicans ahead at 51-49.
See you on the other side.
God help us.