. . . Trump swoon?
Answer: . .
. . . It's both.
AUGUST 4
Head-to-head; Clinton +4 -- 47-41. Over the past three days, Clinton is up 3 points and Trump is down 1. Thirty days ago, Clinton also led by 4, which means that she has wiped out the Trump bump and restored the status quo ante.
Four-way, Clinton +4 -- Clinton 42, Trump 38, Johnson 7, Stein 3. Increasingly it appears that the Libertarians and Greens will have little influence on the top two races. Clinton enjoys a 4-point lead without'em and a 4-point lead with'em.
Electoral College, Clinton +68 -- Clinton 226, Trump 158, Toss Ups 158. Pennsylvania (20) and New Hampshire (4) just moved from Toss Up to Leaning Clinton.
AUGUST 1
HERE ARE the Real Clear Politics numbers for August 1:
Head-to-head, Clinton up 2 -- 44-42. (Hello, bounce.) Thirty days ago Clinton was up 4.
Four-way, tie -- Clinton 40, Trump 40, Johnson 7, Stein 2.
Electoral count, Clinton up 48 (no change) -- Clinton 202, Trump 154, Toss Ups 182.
These are the numbers to use. Ignore all others.
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