Unca Darrell

AUGUST 21 / Too bad Ryan Lochte is not Hillary Clinton

SO SAYS the indispensable Rush. Mr. Lochte lies and is ruined. Ms. Clinton lies and . . . gets nominated by her party for president. In real life, lying is a moral fault and a potential career-ender. For Democrats, it's . . .

AUGUST 22 / Sorry for the shutdown

UNCA D will try to resume regular blogging on September 1. I shut down the site a few weeks back to deal with real life, including planning for a hoped-for photography exhibit this fall. (I'll let you know when I know.) I've taken care of the front-and-center family and personal issues, so I will try to open for business soon. Thanks for your interest. Sorry for the long silence.

AUGUST 5 / The Clinton lead grows

Is the long-predicted Trump final collapse now underway?

AUGUST 5

Head-to-head; Clinton +7, up 3 from yesterday -- 47-40. Number of polls on the RCP screen showing Trump ahead: zero.

Four-way, Clinton +7, up 3 from yesterday -- Clinton 43, Trump 36, Johnson 8, Stein 3. 

Electoral College, Clinton +79, up 11 from yesterday -- Clinton 233, Trump 154, Toss Ups 151. Pennsylvania (20), Oregon (7), and New Hampshire (4) have recently moved from Toss Up to Leans Clinton. Missouri (10) has moved from Leans Trump to Toss Up.

AUGUST 4

Head-to-head; Clinton +4 -- 47-41. Over the past three days, Clinton is up 3 points and Trump is down 1. Thirty days ago, Clinton also led by 4, which means that she has wiped out the Trump bump and restored the status quo ante. 

Four-way, Clinton +4 -- Clinton 42, Trump 38, Johnson 7, Stein 3. Increasingly it appears that the Libertarians and Greens will have little influence on the top two races. Clinton enjoys a 4-point lead without'em and a 4-point lead with'em.

Electoral College, Clinton +68 -- Clinton 226, Trump 158, Toss Ups 158. Pennsylvania (20) and New Hampshire (4) just moved from Toss Up to Leaning Clinton.

AUGUST 1

HERE ARE the Real Clear Politics numbers for August 1:

Head-to-head, Clinton up 2 -- 44-42. (Hello, bounce.) Thirty days ago Clinton was up 4.

Four-way, tie -- Clinton 40, Trump 40, Johnson 7, Stein 2.

Electoral count, Clinton up 48 (no change) -- Clinton 202, Trump 154, Toss Ups 182.

These are the numbers to use. Ignore all others.

AUGUST 4 / Is it a Clinton bounce or a . . .

. . . Trump swoon?

Answer: . .  

AUGUST 1 / Mrs. Clinton is now up 2

HERE ARE the Real Clear Politics numbers for August 1:

Head-to-head, Clinton up 2 -- 44-42. (Hello, bounce.) Thirty days ago Clinton was up 4.

Four-way, tie -- Clinton 40, Trump 40, Johnson 7, Stein 2.

Electoral count, Clinton up 48 (no change) -- Clinton 202, Trump 154, Toss Ups 182.

These are the numbers to use. Ignore all others.